Deadspin’s 2021 NFL Wild Card picks you can bank on: Day 1

The Bills are loose. Last Sunday, they toyed with the Dolphins like a dog. On Thursday, they were seen dancing to MC Hammer’s “U Can’t Touch This” in practice. And they’re riding a six-game winning streak. I mean, who can touch them?

Sorry, I had to.

Enter the Indianapolis Colts, an underrated No. 7 seed that’s 11-5 straight up, and 3-4 against current playoff teams. During the season, Indy was a cool 8-8 against the spread. But they cover on the road, as they were 5-3 ATS in away games. The Bills and Josh Allen, a younger, better, faster, non-trash-talking version of Philip Rivers, should be favored. But do you like Buffalo to win by a touchdown and extra point?

The Pick: Yes, you do like the Bills to win by seven or more. The last time Buffalo hosted a playoff game was in 1996. A win would give the Bills their first playoff victory since 1995. Plus, this team finished with the best ATS record in the NFL (11-5). Lock this one in: -6.5 is an easy cover.