Canada is really worried about part of its housing market

canada bird housesFlickr / Sue Richards

Canada is still really worried about its housing market.

On Wednesday, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz issued a strong warning about homes in the country.

A statement from the bank noted that folks who want to buy homes in Vancouver and/or Toronto should probably recognize that prices are unlikely to further increase dramatically, given economic fundamentals.

“Prospective homebuyers and their lenders should not extrapolate recent real estate performance into the future when contemplating a transaction,” Poloz said in the statement.

Home prices in the Greater Vancouver area have surged 30% year over year in May, up from 15% at the end of 2015, according to the bank’s June 2016 Financial System Review. Meanwhile, prices in the Greater Toronto area are growing by 15% year over year, up from 10% half a year earlier.

“Mortgage debt continues to rise among highly indebted households that have less capacity to cope financially with a loss in income or rising interest rates. This leaves the household sector more vulnerable, with potential consequences for lenders and mortgage insurers,” the bank added in the report.

“Nonetheless, stronger growth in household income, combined with a gradual normalization of interest rates, will likely diminish the extent of this vulnerability over time.”

On the flip side, the report also said that home sales in oil-producing regions were still pretty low, and that “in the rest of Canada, most markets appear well balanced and price growth is modest.”

The Canadian dollar is little changed, at 1.2708 per dollar as of 11:16 a.m. ET.

Screen Shot 2016 06 09 at 11.16.05

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