After 16 weeks of the NFL season, the Arizona Cardinals are now the favorite to win the Super Bowl, with a slight edge over the New England Patriots.
Using Nate Silver’s 2015 NFL Predictions, a model that rates each team and then projects how the regular season and playoffs will play out, we can get a better sense of which teams are the true Super Bowl contenders.
According to the model, the Cardinals have a 24% chance to win the Super Bowl, just ahead of the Patriots at 21%. The Carolina Panthers and Denver Broncos are the only other teams given at least a 10% shot of winning it all. Here are the chances for all the teams that have either clinched a playoff spot or are still in contention for one of the final spots.
Cork Gaines/Business Insider